The output items
The CSV, TXT and XLS outputs of JDemetra+ may contain the items shown in table below.
A list of output items of JDemetra+ CSV, TXT and XLS formats.
| Code | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Original series | |
| Forecasts of the original series | |
| Standard errors of the forecasts of the original series | |
| Interpolated series | |
| Forecasts of the interpolated series | |
| Standard errors of the forecasts of the interpolated series | |
| Linearised series (not transformed) | |
| Linearised series (transformed) | |
| Series corrected for calendar effects | |
| Forecasts of the series corrected for calendar effects | |
| Forecasts of the linearised series | |
| Backcasts of the linearised series | |
| Trend (including deterministic effects) | |
| Forecasts of the trend | |
| Seasonally adjusted series (including deterministic effects) | |
| Forecasts of the seasonally adjusted series | |
| Seasonal component (including deterministic effects) | |
| Forecasts of the seasonal component | |
| Irregular component (including deterministic effects) | |
| Forecasts of the irregular component | |
| All deterministic effects | |
| Forecasts of the deterministic effects | |
| Calendar effects | |
| Forecasts of the calendar effects | |
| Trading day effect | |
| Forecasts of the trading day effect | |
| Moving holidays effects | |
| Forecasts of the moving holidays effects | |
| Easter effect | |
| Forecasts of the Easter effect | |
| Other moving holidays effects | |
| Forecasts of the other moving holidays effects | |
| All outliers effects | |
| Forecasts of all outliers effects | |
| Outliers effects related to irregular (AO, TC) | |
| Forecasts of outliers effects related to irregular (TC) | |
| Outliers effects related to trend (LS) | |
| Forecasts of outliers effects related to trend (LS) | |
| Outliers effects related to seasonal (SO) | |
| Forecasts of outliers effects related to seasonal (SO) | |
| All other regression effects | |
| Forecasts of all other regression effects | |
| Regression effects related to irregular | |
| Forecasts of regression effects related to irregular | |
| Regression effects related to trend | |
| Forecasts of regression effects related to trend | |
| Regression effects related to seasonal | |
| Forecasts of regression effects related to seasonal | |
| Regression effects related to seasonally adjusted series | |
| Forecasts of regression effects related to seasonally adjusted series | |
| Separate regression effects | |
| Forecasts of separate regression effects | |
| Full residuals of the RegARIMA model | |
| Linearised series used as input in the decomposition | |
| Forecast of the linearised series used as input in the decomposition | |
| Trend produced by the decomposition | |
| Forecasts of the trend produced by the decomposition | |
| Seasonal component produced by the decomposition | |
| Forecasts of the Seasonal component produced by the decomposition | |
| Irregular produced by the decomposition | |
| Forecasts of the irregular produced by the decomposition | |
| Seasonally adjusted series produced by the decomposition | |
| Forecasts of the seasonally adjusted series produced by the decomposition | |
| Seasonal-Irregular produced by the decomposition | |
| For X-13ARIMA-SEATS only. Series from the X-11 decomposition (x = a, b, c, d, e; y=a1...) | |
| Benchmarked seasonally adjusted series | |
| Target for the benchmarking |
The CSV matrix of JDemetra+ may contain:
| Code | Meaning |
| Start of the series span | |
| End of the series span | |
| Length of the series span | |
| Start of the estimation span | |
| End of the estimation span | |
| Length of the estimation span | |
| Number of effective observations in the likelihood function | |
| Number of parameters in the likelihood | |
| Log likelihood | |
| Adjusted log likelihood | |
| Sum of the squared errors in the likelihood | |
| AIC statistics | |
| Corrected AIC statistics | |
| BIC statistics | |
| BIC corrected for length | |
| Standard error of the residuals (unbiased, TRAMO-like) | |
| Standard error of the residuals (ML, X-13ARIMA-SEATS-like) | |
| Test on the mean of the residuals | |
| Test on the skewness of the residuals | |
| Test on the kurtosis of the residuals | |
| Test on the normality of the residuals (Doornik-Hansen tests) | |
| The Ljung-Box test on the residuals | |
| The Ljung-Box test on the squared residuals | |
| The Ljung-Box test on the residuals at seasonal lags | |
| The Box-Pierce test on the residuals | |
| The Box-Pierce test on the squared residuals | |
| The Box-Pierce test on the residuals at seasonal lags | |
| Test on the number of runs of the residuals | |
| Test on the length of runs of the residuals | |
| The relative contribution of the irregular over three months span | |
| The relative contribution of the irregular component to the stationary portion of the variance | |
| The amount of period to period change in the irregular component as compared to the amount of period to period change in the trend-cycle | |
| The amount of autocorrelation in the irregular as described by the average duration of run | |
| The number of periods it takes the change in the trend-cycle to surpass the amount of change in the irregular | |
| The amount of year to year change in the irregular as compared to the amount of year to year change in the seasonal | |
| The amount of moving seasonality present relative to the amount of stable seasonality | |
| The size of the fluctuations in the seasonal component throughout the whole series | |
| The average linear movement in the seasonal component throughout the whole series | |
| The size of the fluctuations in the seasonal component in the recent years | |
| The average linear movement in the seasonal component in the recent years | |
| Summary of the M-Statistics | |
| Summary of the M-Statistics without M2 | |
| Summary of the diagnostics | |
| Definition test | |
| Annual totals test | |
| Test of the presence of the visual seasonal peaks in SA and/or irregular | |
| Test of the presence of the visual trading day peaks in SA and/or irregular | |
| Test of the normality of the residuals | |
| Test of the independence of the residuals | |
| Test of the presence of trading day peaks in the residuals | |
| Test of the presence of seasonal peaks in the residuals | |
| Test of the presence of residual seasonality in the SA series | |
| Test of the presence of residual seasonality on\ sa\ (last\ 3\ years):2$$ | |
| Test of the presence of residual seasonality in the irregular series (last periods) | |
| Test on the variance of the seasonal component | |
| Test on the variance of the irregular component | |
| Test on the cross-correlation between the seasonal and the irregular component | |
| Log transformation | |
| Pre-adjustment of the series for leap year | |
| Mean correction | |
| The regular autoregressive order of the ARIMA model | |
| The regular differencing order of the ARIMA model | |
| Regular moving average order of the ARIMA model | |
| The seasonal autoregressive order of the ARIMA model | |
| The seasonal differencing order of the ARIMA model | |
| The seasonal moving average order of the ARIMA model | |
| Regular autoregressive parameter (lag=$i$, max $i$=3) of the ARIMA model | |
| Regular moving average parameter (lag=$i$, max $i$=3) of the ARIMA model | |
| Seasonal autoregressive parameter (lag=$i$, max $i$=1) of the ARIMA model | |
| Seasonal moving average parameter (lag=$i$ max $i$=1) of the ARIMA model | |
| Coefficient and test on the leap year | |
| Number of trading day variables | |
| Coefficient and test on the $i^\ $trading day variable | |
| Number of moving holidays | |
| Coefficient and test on the Easter variable | |
| Number of outliers | |
| Coefficient and test on $i^\ $the outlier (max $i$=16) | |
| Presence of a seasonal component (1 – present, 0 – not present) | |
| The order of the trend filter | |
| The order of the seasonal filter |